Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.356028 1.538077 1.737452 1.972322 2.241842 2.541916 2.901980
2025-11-30 1.114554 1.361047 1.653187 2.026251 2.491845 3.056141 3.795518
2025-12-07 0.935859 1.213255 1.563858 2.042345 2.682752 3.516416 4.693847
2025-12-14 0.789623 1.075779 1.457384 2.008156 2.790430 3.873140 5.505120
2025-12-21 0.671303 0.954019 1.348702 1.946461 2.840362 4.145689 6.229544
2025-12-28 0.619142 0.914873 1.345619 2.028003 3.099097 4.744590 7.519656
2026-01-04 0.570599 0.873058 1.330701 2.085744 3.324237 5.317356 8.853244
2026-01-11 0.527128 0.832502 1.310867 2.130044 3.529419 5.880639 10.254044
2026-01-18 0.486382 0.790720 1.282867 2.155076 3.702187 6.408201 11.670305
2026-01-25 0.440462 0.734878 1.224771 2.120300 3.763926 6.746021 12.786433
2026-02-01 0.390804 0.667216 1.138992 2.025623 3.703577 6.850297 13.464671
2026-02-08 0.353775 0.617519 1.078835 1.969357 3.705631 7.068524 14.399025
2026-02-15 0.321810 0.574932 1.029226 1.931381 3.746820 7.386119 15.634482
2026-02-22 0.309228 0.566434 1.041057 2.012927 4.037054 8.250193 18.217490
2026-03-01 0.291030 0.545474 1.027156 2.041838 4.223700 8.927423 20.512745
2026-03-08 0.268115 0.513048 0.987574 2.013272 4.284043 9.339590 22.262841
2026-03-15 0.244407 0.476665 0.936320 1.953799 4.268077 9.577288 23.629489
2026-03-22 0.237316 0.472901 0.950521 2.036775 4.584915 10.635141 27.304457
2026-03-29 0.228331 0.464277 0.953601 2.095286 4.852978 11.618796 30.990684
2026-04-05 0.218790 0.453493 0.950866 2.140029 5.094196 12.574547 34.806014
2026-04-12 0.208395 0.439836 0.940411 2.165288 5.290640 13.447057 38.572838
2026-04-19 0.194296 0.416720 0.906606 2.130378 5.328576 13.904795 41.193966
2026-04-26 0.177149 0.385265 0.850910 2.035234 5.195664 13.874408 42.288145